June 18, 2012 •
Eye on the Races – June 18, 2012
Taking a look at the week in politics and campaigning.
President Obama and his campaign are looking to bounce back after a rough first week of June. According to numbers released by both campaigns, Governor Mitt Romney outraised President Obama in May bringing in $76.8 million compared to the president’s $60 million. This marks the first time Gov. Romney has topped the president during this campaign. President Obama’s totals include a $15 million fundraiser at the home of Actor George Clooney, while Gov. Romney’s totals include $75,000 donations made by both he and his wife.
Additionally, the President spent the week dealing with a May jobs report that didn’t meet projections as the unemployment rate rose to 8.2% and saw only 69,000 new jobs created. However, the campaign can find some comfort in that it is still early in the election cycle, and there is plenty of time for growth between now and November.
Super PAC’s continue to play a major role in the campaign as more and more money is being spent on advertising in key battleground states, like Ohio, where both the president and Gov. Romney gave speeches on Thursday. Billionaire casino mogul Sheldon Adelson, has reportedly pledged $10 million to Restore our Future, a pro-Romney Super PAC while the Service Employees International Union (SEIU) has teamed with Priorities USA, a pro-Obama Super Pac, to run a $4 million ad campaign.
Other Campaign notes:
- A judge has signed off on the Justice Department’s request to dismiss the remaining five charges against former Senator and Presidential candidate John Edwards. The jury in the North Carolina trial found Edwards not guilty on one count of accepting illegal campaign contributions but were deadlocked on the remaining five.
- In Wisconsin, Republican Governor Scott Walker survived his recall election in what many are calling a referendum on the president’s policies and likely putting Wisconsin in play in the general election.
- Democratic candidate Ron Barber, former district director for Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords, won the special election in Arizona’s 8th congressional district and will serve the remainder of Giffords term. Giffords resigned to focus on her recovery from a brain injury suffered during a shooting at an event in January 2011. Barber was Giffords choice to succeed her and will run for a full term in November in the newly drawn 2nd congressional district.
- Utah will hold the final Presidential primary contest on Tuesday, June 26. While Governor Romney has already secured the Republican nomination, Utah will likely be a boost for the campaign as Romney is expected to do well in the state with its large Mormon population.
June 1, 2012 •
Eye on the Races – June 1, 2012
Campaign headlines in the week that was:
Former Governor Mitt Romney secured the Republican Party’s nomination for president with a win in the Texas primary on Tuesday, May 29, after amassing a projected 1,191 delegates.
“I am honored that Americans across the country have given their support to my candidacy and I am humbled to have won enough delegates to become the Republican Party’s 2012 presidential nominee,” Romney said in a statement.
President Obama called the former governor Thursday morning to congratulate him on the nomination and express his hope for “an important and healthy debate about America’s Future,” said Obama campaign spokesman Ben Labolt.
Other campaign notes:
- Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker (R) faces a recall election Tuesday, June 5, against his 2010 gubernatorial opponent, Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D). The recall started after Gov. Walker proposed a plan eliminating certain collective bargaining powers for public employees, but has focused primarily on economic conditions in the state. Current polling shows the Governor leading Mayor Barrett. A Real Clear Politics average of various polls on the race show Walker maintains a roughly six point advantage (51% to 44.4%).
- Congressman Thaddeus McCotter (R-MI) is waging a write in campaign for his own congressional seat after failing to obtain enough signatures to appear on the ballot in Michigan’s 11th District. McCotter waged a long shot, and ultimately unsuccessful, campaign for the 2012 GOP nomination for president. Now McCotter faces teacher Kerry Bentivolio in the 11th districts republican primary on August 7, 2012. Perhaps the biggest obstacle; however, may be the Congressman’s name, which could be tough for voters to spell. Luckily for McCotter, Michigan election law does not require a name be spelled correctly in order to count, as long as the voter’s intention is clear.
- Artur Davis, Former Alabama Democratic Congressman, has started the process of moving his voter registration to Virginia. On his website, Davis confirms rumors that if he were to run again, it would be as a Republican. Davis has lived in Northern Virginia since December 2010, after losing the Alabama gubernatorial election, as a democrat, by a large margin.
May 30, 2012 •
Recalls and Redistricting
Keep up with the latest news about recall elections and redistricting:
Recall Elections
“Recall Fever: As Scott Walker Fights To Keep His Post, Recall Elections Spread Across U.S.” by Ashley Portero in the International Business Times.
“Recall fundraising figures released” by the Associated Press in WEAU News.
“Statistics Fly in Wisconsin’s Recall Battle” by Douglas Belkin in The Wall Street Journal.
Redistricting
Connecticut: “Challenge to Senate redistricting is delayed” by Brian Lockhart in the Connecticut Post.
Kansas: “Brownback tells federal judicial panel to toss legislative redistricting maps” by Scott Rothschild in the Lawrence Journal World.
Kansas: “Kan. redistricting trial nears completion” by John Milburn (Associated Press) in Real Clear Politics.
Photo of Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker by Megan McCormick in Wikipedia.
May 29, 2012 •
Redistricting in the News
Keep up with the latest redistricting articles from five states.
Arizona: “Dismissal of Arizona redistricting lawsuit requested by commission” by The Associated Press in the Arizona Capitol Times.
Kansas: “Remove politics, and redistricting map falls in line” by Scott Rothschild in the Lawrence Journal World.
Kansas: “Redistricting hearings begin in Kansas City” by Andy Marso and Aly Van Dyke in the Topeka Capitol-Journal.
Missouri: “Missouri’s U.S. House and statehouse districts will remain, court rules” by Elizabeth Crisp in the St. Louis Post-Dispatch.
North Carolina: “N.C. group: Panel, not lawmakers, to draw districts” by the Associated Press in the Greensboro News & Record.
Texas: “Redistricting concerns remain in Texas” by Paul J. Weber in the Daily Oklahoman.
May 25, 2012 •
Eye on the Races – May 25, 2012
Obama Campaign Looks to Define Governor Romney with Ad Campaign
Depending on where you live, and how much attention you pay to television advertisements for political campaigns, messages being disseminated are having varying effects. President Obama’s campaign has come out with a couple ads aimed at defining former Governor Mitt Romney’s history in the private sector, most notably his involvement with Bain Capital, a firm he co-founded.
The first round of ads have been airing across the country, mostly in battleground states like Colorado, Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia. The second round of ads are set to air in targeted markets as well in the coming days.
Gov. Romney finally broke his silence Wednesday, during interviews and appearances on the campaign trail. In countering the ads from the Obama campaign, Gov. Romney told TIME’s Mark Halperin, “I happen to believe that having been in the private sector for twenty five years gives me a perspective on how jobs are created – that someone who’s never spent a day in the private sector, like President Obama, simply doesn’t understand.”
As far as whether or not the Bain ads are working, it’s perhaps too soon to say. A recent NBC/Wall Street Journal poll shows that a majority (53%) of respondents did not recognize or have enough information to offer an opinion about the name Bain Capital. The same poll also showed that 59% of respondents said Gov. Romney’s background was an advantage in working to reduce the federal budget deficit.
To make things more complicated, a number of prominent democrats – Newark, New Jersey Mayor Cory Booker, Former Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell and former White House “car czar” Steve Rattner – have all levied criticism over whether or not attacking private equity is an appropriate campaign strategy.
President Obama’s campaign has stood firm; however, and the President has stated that Gov. Romney’s record at Bain is what “this campaign is going to be about.”
During a press conference at the end of the recent NATO summit in Chicago, President Obama stated, “When you’re president, as opposed to the head of a private equity firm, then your job is not simply to maximize profits. Your job is to figure out how everybody in the country has a fair shot.”
It’s clear the issue is not going away anytime soon, and will be a centerpiece of both campaigns moving forward.
May 22, 2012 •
New York Delays State Primary Election
State wants September 11 focus on remembrance, not politics
Governor Andrew Cuomo signed a bill today that will push back the state’s primary by two days, to September 13, 2012. The primary is traditionally scheduled for the second Tuesday after Labor Day, but this year that day is September 11.
Out of respect for those that attend annual September 11 memorials, the state decided to change the date of the primary. The state also moved the primary back two days in 2007 for the same reason.
The delayed primary date will push back all pre and post-primary report due dates by two days as well.
May 22, 2012 •
Georgia House Seat Vacated
Filling District 28 will not require a special election
House District 28 is vacant following the resignation of Michael Harden.
The Secretary of State’s office has notified local officials to inform them there will not be a special election because the House is not in session.
The seat will be an open one on the ballot for the July 31st primary and for the November 6th general election.
May 17, 2012 •
Eye on the Races – May 17, 2012
GOP nominee soon to be official; April fundraising reports due this week.
As the national party conventions draw nearer, the race to obtain a majority of the 2286 delegates available to secure the GOP nomination appears to be well within the grasp of former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney.
Following Tuesday’s primary wins in Nebraska and Oregon, the Associated Press and NBC News project Gov. Romney now has 989 of the 1144 delegates needed to become the Republican nominee for President. While most of Gov. Romney’s competitors have suspended their campaigns, (Congressman Ron Paul remains in the race) the governor must still obtain the necessary delegates in order to be officially nominated at the GOP convention in Tampa Bay, Florida, August 27-30.
Romney can potentially pick up 81 proportionally allocated delegates in the next two primaries in Arkansas and Kentucky on May 22. If he then wins the “winner-take-all” Texas primary, and its 155 delegates, on May 29, Romney will assuredly lock up the nomination heading into the summer. The Washington Post has an excellent, interactive delegate tracker and primer to help make sense of the GOP primary process.
As the Republican nominee, donors are certain to coalesce around Romney which he will need in order to mount a formidable campaign. April fundraising reports are due to the Federal Election Commission on May 20th.
President Obama’s campaign has already begun to leak numbers announcing that it raised $43.6 million total in April for the campaign, the Democratic National Committee and other committees such as Organizing for America, a project of the DNC founded in January 2009. While the President’s numbers are lower than the $45 million raised in February and $53 million in March, President Obama still maintains a large overall fundraising advantage over Gov. Romney.
Gov. Romney’s campaign also leaked fundraising numbers today ahead of Friday’s deadline (campaigns are required to submit reports prior to the deadline if the due date falls on a weekend or holiday). The Romney campaign, along with the Republican National Committee and other committees, raised $40.1 million in April, just $3.5 million behind the President’s campaign.
If these fundraising numbers are any indication, we’ve only just begun.
Photo of President Barack Obama courtesy of Pete Souza on Wikipedia. Photo of Mitt Romney courtesy of Gage Skidmore on Wikipedia.
May 16, 2012 •
NCSL Offers Online Election Reform Information
and other election law and redistricting news
Election Law
NCSL is now offering a searchable database of election reform legislation from the states in one convenient location on their website: “Election Reform Legislation Online on NCSL Website”
“Brewer signs elections bill, vetoes 6 bills” by Mary JO Pitzl in the Tucson Citizen.
Redistricting
Alabama: “Alabama Legislature holding final day of session” by The Associated Press in the News Courier. According to the article, “Legislative leaders have asked the governor to call a special session starting Thursday to draw new legislative districts.”
Alaska: “Redistricting board unveils changes made in Southeast” by Becky Bohrer in the Anchorage Daily News.
Kansas: “Republicans at war with each other over redistricting” by Scott Rothschild in the Lawrence Journal World.
Minnesota: “$628K sought for redistricting costs in Minn.” by Martiga Lohn (Associated Press) in the Crookston Times.
May 10, 2012 •
Eye on the Races – May 10, 2012
President Obama Comes Out in Support of Same-Sex Marriage
During an interview aired last night with ABC News Robin Roberts President Barack Obama expressed his personal support for same-sex marriage. The news broke when ABC news leaked portions of the interview yesterday afternoon.
“At a certain point I’ve just concluded that for me personally it is important for me to go ahead and affirm that I think same sex couples should be able to get married.” Obama told Roberts in the interview.
The admission comes after Vice President Joe Biden set off a media firestorm with comments he made during an interview with David Gregory on NBC’s Meet the Press on Sunday. Additionally, on Tuesday, North Carolina voters approved a constitutional amendment defining marriage as the union between a man and a woman.
While the President has personally come out in support of same-sex marriage, he told Roberts that he still believes the issue should be decided by the states and not at the federal level. Sources told the Associated Press the President was under increasing pressure from supporters and donors who threatened to withhold funds from the pro-Obama Super PAC, Priorities USA, without clarification from the President of his positions on same-sex marriage.
Following the announcement, Republican Party Presidential candidate Mitt Romney stated to KOCO in Oklahoma City “I believe marriage is a relationship between a man and a woman.”
While the issue will likely not be heavily debated in the coming months of the general election, the announcement is historic as it is the first time a sitting president or presidential nominee from either major political party has come out in support of same-sex marriage.
May 9, 2012 •
North Carolina Heading to Second Primary Election
Runoff scheduled for July
North Carolina citizens voted in the 2012 primary last night, but some races did not yield a true winner. According to state law, if no candidate receives 40% of the vote in a primary, a second primary (or runoff) election is needed.
Over 10 races, including republican races for Lieutenant Governor and three U.S. House seats, will be headed to a runoff election.
Thanks to a new law passed by the North Carolina General Assembly last year, the primary will be held 10 weeks following the first primary, rather than the usual seven weeks. The new law took effect, because at least one of the races headed to a runoff was a U.S. Congress seat.
The runoff election will take place on July 17, 2012.
May 8, 2012 •
Mass. OCPF Director Reappointed
For new six-year term
Michael Sullivan, the Director of the Massachusetts Office of Campaign and Political Finance, has been reappointed for another six-year term to the agency.
According to the Boston Herald, the decision was unanimous to reappoint Sullivan, who has been the director for almost 18 years.
For full news coverage, read:
“Michael Sullivan reappointed as OCPF chief” by Gintautas Dumcius in the Boston Herald.
A thank you goes to Jim Sedor, Editor of News You Can Use, for alerting us to this news.
April 24, 2012 •
Keep Up with the Latest Redistricting News
Today we have items from seven states:
“Redistricting takes some of the ‘swing’ out of House fights” by Susan Davis in USA Today.
Alaska: “It may be too late for another legislative redistricting plan” by Becky Bohrer in the Anchorage Daily News.
Arizona: “State Supreme Court reaffirms that governor shouldn’t have fired redistricting chair” by Howard Fischer in the East Valley Tribune.
Kansas: “Kobach warns of redistricting crisis” by John Hanna (Associated Press) in the Lawrence Journal-World.
Mississippi: “Mississippi lawmakers tackle redistricting” by Phil West in The Commercial Appeal.
Pennsylvania: “Pennsylvania’s new map pits incumbent Democrats in primary” by Sean Lengell in The Washington Times.
Vermont: “Vermont Senate endorses redistricting plans” by Nancy Remsen in the Burlington Free Press.
Wyoming: “State: Redistricting plaintiffs have no standing to file suit” by Trevor Brown in the Wyoming Tribune Eagle.
April 3, 2012 •
South Carolina to Hold Special Election
Dates set to fill vacated seat
A special election will be held on July 24, 2012 to fill the empty seat in House District 68. Thad Viers recently vacated the seat after being charged with harassing his ex-girlfriend.
The primary election will be held June 5, 2012. If necessary, a primary runoff will be held on June 19, 2012.
Photo of the South Carolina State House by Nikopoley on Wikipedia.
State and Federal Communications, Inc. provides research and consulting services for government relations professionals on lobbying laws, procurement lobbying laws, political contribution laws in the United States and Canada. Learn more by visiting stateandfed.com.